Posts by Thomas van Manen

About Thomas van Manen

Thomas van Manen is a researcher with a focus on the impact of new technologies and is part of the VINT research program on Big Data, Internet of Things, Gamification, Wearables and Disruptive Technologies. As a innovator Thomas helps organizations translate new technologies and digital trends into ideas and ideas into concepts using research, workshops and pilot programs. Thomas is also Chief Editor of the VINT research blog, part of Sogeti Labs community of technology experts and was voted to be part of the HOT100 in 2012, a yearly selection of the most promising alumni in Media & Arts studies.

 

Real Disruption Happens When Technologies Combine

Disruption is the most recent rhythm of the technology debate. The uberization of everything if often mentioned, so is the disruptive potential of abundance. However disruption is also about finding the right product-market fit.

In a new report, the Institute for the Future argues that:

“technological change is increasingly driven by the combination and recombination of foundational elements.”

So to imagine the future, it is not just about advances in technology, like in computing power or miniaturization, but it is also about the intersection of these technologies. The intersection might be the disruption; completely new oppurtunities and new markets all together.

The report presents a technology horizon map that is designed to help anticipate the future of combinatorial innovations emerging at the intersection of distinct territories. The map presents 20 new innovative combinatorial forecasts you can use to navigate the future as it unfolds. The bigger picture: a more interconnected technology landscape.

Schermafbeelding 2014-07-28 om 10.40.20So click around on the map in 13 “territories”–what it calls “frontiers of innovation”–and then examine the overlaps. Here are a two to get started. [Read more...]

The Smart City Needs To Deal With The Same Problems As The Internet

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The analogy between the internet and the smart cities I wrote about a few weeks ago is not only based on the similarity in opportunities. Much like the internet, the smart city is also subject to social and cultural dilemmas like privacy and security. A city tracking its citizens, even for helpful reasons, impacts the personal liberty we count on in public spaces.

Smart city projects rely on sophisticated infrastructure that governments aren’t capable of creating themselves. The crucial software systems and networks that underlie city services will likely lie in private hands. Smart grid utility-metering systems, for instance, collect and transmit detailed energy consumption information, which help consumers understand their energy use but can also reveal their habits. As such, they have come under fire for threatening privacy and civil liberties. This could be as simple as your Nest Thermostat being part of the Google Ecosystem and they might use your Nest data to serve better ads, or your Nest data ending up in the analytical software of NSA-like parties.

There are at least three classes of security and privacy issues that may result:

  • protecting the connected assets from attack;
  • protecting the data gathered from those assets from misuse;
  • protecting the privacy of individuals whose assets may be supplying the data (via, e.g., electric meters or connected cars).

A big challenge for smart cities is combining with, and migrating away from, legacy systems throughout the city. The smart city is as good the software it uses is therefore a common saying. However, the same goes for privacy and security.

A smart city is as secure and private as the software it uses.

The World’s First Family Robot

As I wrote last week: the robots are on the move. And they might show up at your doorstep early 2015 if you head over to IndieGoGo and pre-order Jibo, the world’s first family robot.

Specifically, Jibo is a social robot. You talk to it, ask it questions, make requests. It talks back and provides answers. It sort of like the physical embodiment of Siri, Google Now, or any of the voice-activated assistants services available on our smartphones or tablets. Jibo however,  tries to act like more of a participant than a tool.

Check out the early demo.

Smart Cities and the Internet of Things: Follow the Money and the Data

smart-cities-1As we introduced here on the blog earlier, our next (and last) installment of our four reports on the internet of things will be all about the concept of smart cities. After our initial exploration of the internet of things in the first report, the personal (and wearable) internet of things in the second report, and the third report on the industrial side of IoT and the integration of Information Technology and Operational Technology, cities are a logical next step in which all these concepts are converging. And cities are a huge piece of the Internet of Things-pie.

All big themes associated with the internet of things, like efficiency gains, predictive maintenance and ubiquitous connectivity, have a enormous relevancy towards cities. More than half of the world lives in cities, and by 2050, it will be two-thirds. This rapid increase in population coupled with financial constraints, the convergence of technologies and a desire to reduce environmental impact is creating new challenges and opportunities for cities in areas such as energy use, mobility, security, infrastructure, healthcare and governance.

That’s where the IoT comes in.

We all know the staggering predictions about what economical impact the IoT will have on the world. In terms of numbers, the loudest drumroll is currently being produced by Cisco that, in June 2013, estimated the present potential of things at 613 billion dollars, and presumes that the market will amount to no less than 14,400 billion dollars in 2023. In this context, Cisco is talking about savings — the reduction of waste — plus the direct sale of products. McKinsey assesses the economic impact of the Internet of Things at somewhere between 2700 and 6200 billion dollars in 2025, with the healthcare sector, infrastructure and public sector services as the most promising domains. 

If we zoom in on these numbers we end up at cities (or urban environments) pretty fast. A more recent research by Bosch titled  “Capitalizing on the internet of things” talks about 5 key markets as where the estimated 596 billion in IoT-revenue will come from.

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[Read more...]

Disruption and The Valley of Death

From our Design to Disrupt event: Gerd Leonhard on the Valley of Death, The New Normal and Disruptive technologies.

Gerd Leonhard on Disruption @ VINT Symposium Design to Disrupt from VINTlabs – The Sogeti Trendlab on Vimeo.

The Robots are on the move

The robots are on the move. Based on advancements in hardware, self learning algorithms and artificial intelligence, robotics is moving towards the centre of our technological future. Google is doing some heavy investing; acquiring over eight robotics companies—including Boston Dynamics, maker of BigDog, WildCat and a stable of other astonishing Pentagon-funded bots. Robots of varying shape and design, all controlled remotely and challenging the current limits of artificial sensing, manipulation, and agility.

To get you in the mood, here a few clips of robots build by Boston Dynamics:

Big Dog was one of the first machines they build. Powered by a go-kart engine it used 69 sensors to monitor the movement of its legs, the forces exerted on those limbs, and factors including temperature and hydraulic pressure. Using dynamic balance, it could walk across sand, snow, and even ice. Later they developed Cheetah, a robot that can run at 47 kilometers per hour on a treadmill while attached to a stabilizing bar. Check out this great piece by MIT on Boston Dynamics

ls3 [Read more...]

Data from wearables tells a story: this is how we move

Most wearables track everyday activity like walking, running and when we use automated transport. All this data tells the story of how we move.

And while Human is a an app and not a wearable device, the types of data that are collected are pretty much the same. Every day, people track millions of activities with their app. They visualized the data in major cities all across the globe to get an insight into human activity. Walking, running, cycling and motorized transportation data tell us different stories.

This is how we move from Human on Vimeo.

This type of tracking does not only leads to beautiful video’s like this one, it makes a business case as well. Hyper measurability is extending its ability to measure anything, and now extends to every floor: from the relationship between the amount of coffee consumed and the following activity, to the connection between the minimum physical activity per employee and health-related costs. Bring Your Own Wearable Device (BYOWD) will be generally accepted in the not so distant future.

D2D – Design to Disrupt: Photos & Tweets

Here are some of the pictures from our VINT symposium on Design to Disrupt. Go over to our Facebook page to see all the photos from the event.

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One of the attendees, @Davied, created this Storify with the best tweets (mostly in Dutch) during the event. [Read more...]

Empathic Things: This Humanoid Robot Understands Your Emotions

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A few months ago we published our second report on the Internet of Things called Empathic Things. We argued that “In the past few years, information technology has become increasingly personal and social and has made its presence very much felt. The emergence of wearable computing and other forms of empathic ‘things’ seems a logical further step: even more intimate, more human-oriented, and ubiquitous. There are more and more devices that count our steps, take our blood pressure or measure the indoor temperature, track our location or conversations.”

A few weeks back I already wrote a article on a gaming system with sensors that could tell if people were happy or sad, excited or bored and adjusted the gameplay accordingly.

Now let me introduce you to Pepper, one of the first in a new breed of emotionally intelligent humanoid robots. Pepper is created by and Japanese firm SoftBank and is able to judge situations with its many sensors–reading emotions through facial expressions and voice tone. According to its creators, Pepper can tell jokes, react to your emotions, and even dance for entertainment. This new robotic friend runs on 12 hours of continuous battery life, and has the ability to synchronize with the cloud through an Internet connection. Here’s a video of Pepper showing off his human qualities: [Read more...]

Microsoft’s ’90s Vision for the Smart Home

Here’s a segment from Retirement Living TV on Microsoft’s vision for the smart home of the future. Some of the features:

  • A mother uses location tracking to find her husband and uses voice recognition to give him a call.
  • A web TV interface brings in programming from cable and the internet.
  • A barcode scanner adds items missing from the fridge to a shopping list.

All things are available today in some form or another if you’d ask me.